Anticipate regime changes in risk – up to 3 months in advance
Momentum measures resilience acceleration. A sharp deceleration often precedes a Kill Switch alert.
Of €5.6M client losses avoided: €4.6M from Kill Switch, €1.0M from macro alerts (GRI / CRI).
| Company | Sector | Resilience Score | Default Prob. | Momentum | Lead time | Severity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RetailExpress | Distribution | 0.28 | 31.2% | -0.041 | 18 months | CRITICAL |
| TechInnov | Technology | 0.28 | 30.2% | -0.038 | 14 months | CRITICAL |
| BTPFrance | Construction | 0.19 | 48.5% | -0.058 | 16 months | CRITICAL |
| SteelProd | Industry | 0.21 | 42.5% | -0.052 | 12 months | CRITICAL |
| CloudPeak | Technology | 0.45 | 15.2% | -0.015 | 6 months | WATCH |
| Company | Sector | Short Score | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|
| TechInnov | Tech | 72 | SHORT |
| RetailExpress | Distribution | 68 | SHORT |
| CloudPeak | Tech | 68 | WATCH |
| BTPFrance | Construction | 65 | WATCH |
| SteelProd | Industry | 58 | WATCH |
✅ Short Screener 3-month accuracy: 89%
| Country | GRI Score | Risk level | Estimated crisis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 88% | CRITICAL | 6 months |
| France | 79% | CRITICAL | 9 months |
| Spain | 72% | HIGH | 12 months |
| Germany | 52% | HIGH | 12 months |
| United Kingdom | 48% | MODERATE | 18 months |
📊 Average detection lead time: 32 days ahead of VIX
| Client | Losses avoided | Performance fee | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Horizon Capital | €3.8M | €570k | 15% |
| Dupont Family Office | €1.2M | €144k | 12% |
| Short Screener (Small HF) | €620k | €124k | 20% |
👆 Click on the icons for a detailed explanation of each block.
Pipeline Performance: anticipates risks up to 18 months in advance, with a fee model aligned with your interests.